The trading strategy a forex trader chooses can be a defining tool for the future positive performance. This material had been designed for beginning forex traders that are searching for an effective trading strategy. What we need to mention from the start is that this strategy, like any other one, should be tested first. Forex trading demo account is a must, especially if you are at the beginning and you need to develop those skills required for you to generate consistent returns.

So, without further a due, let’s jump into the actual strategy that we want to talk about.

False breakout trading strategy

False breakouts happen many times in the forex markets, simply because support and resistance levels are not like a line in the sand. They are actually several layers deep and you will usually find the market breaking a certain support/resistance only to resume impulsively in the opposite direction.

This could be a great opportunity for you, but you need to learn how to do it. First, we must mention that this strategy should only be used for with trend trading. Do not even apply it for counter-trend trading.

Let’s show an actual example, so you could understand the strategy better.

Source:dailyfx.com

Above you can see the EURUSD chart on the 4h time frame. Since the beginning of 2018, the pair had a good performance, following around 13% gain in 2017.

We’ve drawn on the chart the 1.1941 level, which was a key support level. As you can see, the sellers managed to break it in the first place. Considering that the selling leg down was pretty impulsive, some of the traders might have assumed that the market will continue lower. The exact opposite happened and the price surged impulsively on the upside.

Let us know explain the basic rules of the system:

• First, find the dominant direction of the market (the context)
• Look for a key support/resistance level to which the market had responded in the past
• Wait until that particular level had been broken on the other side of the dominant direction of the market.
• For conservative traders, you can wait until the dominant side resumes and breaks again the level and tests it.

You can place stop loss below/above the false break formation, and target at least 2 or 3 times the stop loss value. This kind of setup had a good accuracy and over time it can be very effective.

As we’ve already mentioned, don’t forget the forex trading on demo account before you actually trade live, with your own money.

Risk Disclaimer

Foreign exchange trading carries high risk and may not be suitable for everyone. You should carefully consider before deciding to invest in speculative assets. No information contained in this article should be regarded as a decision to buy a certain asset.

The Canadian Dollar has been trading under pressure as tariffs could weigh on the currency. The Bank of Canada delivered the widely expected lack of change, leaving the setting for the overnight rate at 1.25%. While higher rates over time remain implied by their economic outlook, they repeated that they will be cautious in considering future policy adjustments. Their views on recent developments were largely balanced, but with a notable mention of the growing uncertainty to Canada’s outlook posed by trade policy. The markets projection is for two more rate increases this year, in July and October, leaving a 1.75% setting by year-end.

The crucial final paragraph of the announcement was little changed relative to January. The repeat of “further rate hikes likely but guided by data and implemented with caution” is a place-holder as they observe the evolution of trade policy, wages, housing and GDP.

The Bank of Canada expects GDP growth of 3% in 2017 in-line with the Bank’s projection in the January monetary policy report. Yet that was largely due to higher imports, which mainly reflected stronger business investment. The key for policy going forward is the evolution of GDP and inflation relative to their projections. But uncertainty remains elevated, including the tariff plans from the White House in the United States making for a policy outlook that is written in very light pencil.

The March announcement revealed little change in the cautious, data dependent Bank of Canada. Hence, they should be able to hold policy steady until past mid-year, providing ample time to access the impact of NAFTA and possible U.S. tariffs on trade and investment. The long-anticipated rotation to export and business investment from household spending and housing is moving along in fits and starts. Of course, household spending did slow in Q4, which is something the Bank has been eying for some time. The announcement assured that they are continuing to monitor the economy’s sensitivity to higher interest rates, noting that household credit growth has decelerated for three consecutive months.

Three Rate Hikes in 2018

The Bank of Canada is expected to move again in July, lifting rates 25 basis point to 1.50%. Another 25-basis point rate hike is penciled in for October to leave a 1.75% rate that should close out the year. But the risk is intensifying that the economy faces fresh headwinds from trade and housing this year. Of course, an expanding U.S. economy would provide a strong tailwind for Canada, if trade protectionism does not weaken the link between the two nations. In other words, uncertainty clouds the outlook, leaving a gradual and cautious course ahead as the most sensible policy path for the Bank of Canada this year.

Canada housing starts improved

Canada housing starts improved to a 229.7k unit pace in February from a revised 215.3k growth rate in January. Currency trading of the Canadian Dollar saw the Loonie remain stable. The pick-up in starts was contrary to expectations for a mild dip and comes amid general softness in sales and prices so far this year as new mortgage rules and other measures pulled-activity ahead to late 2017. Starts saw a 6-month average of 225.3k in February versus 224.6k in January, maintain a steady growth rate since November of last year. Single detached starts fell 9.8% to a 56.7k rate in February while multiple urban starts jumped 15% to 154.5k in February. By region, starts improved in Toronto and Vancouver, with a record number of apartment starts featuring in Toronto.

We won’t talk about any strategy or economic subject this time. Instead, we want to focus on something that is more like a psychological skill professional and successful traders manage to develop over time. It is in their mindset to have this approach and we’ll talk about it in a few seconds. What we are going to discuss won’t make you a millionaire in the next few months (sorry, if you were hoping that), but it will definitely help you be more prosperous and be more abundant.

How ordinary traders approach forex trading

If you have been trading for at least a few months, you are now able to spot some patterns in your behavior, which repeat themselves over and over again. The main thing that characterizes beginners is their rush to get rich quickly.

Source: pixabay.com

There is no reason to hide the fact that all the traders join this activity because they want to be wealthier than they are now. But in order to overcome a current condition, things are more complicated than most of you think.

The first step towards that should be to have a different approach towards forex trading. You, as most of the traders, lost money sometimes and you’ve seen with your own eyes how tough it is to make money trading.

What you need to do is treat forex trading like any ordinary business. People see it as some kind of Holy Grail of infinite mine of wealth which they could have access to. In fact, trading is just like any other business. It is a competition between individuals and companies. It is a place with few winners and a lot of losers. It might be harsh for some of you to admit this, but folks, this is the truth.

Even though you will face losses, you have to learn how to deal with them and manage to succeed in this tough environment. By choosing the path of forex trading, you will become a more evolved person than you are now. That is the most important, probably more important than money – becoming a better person as you progress throughout life.

For those of you that heard about Jesse Livermore, you will find a little weird the analogy with forex trading. However, his methodology was focused on the technical aspects of price and that is why you may find some useful information which could be applied to trading.

If you really want to learn more about him, we recommend the book “How to trade in stocks”. It is very short to read, but it really contains a lot of interesting and valuable points.

Source:https://kingworldnews.com

Briefings about Jesse Livermore

He is regarded by many as one of the greatest speculators of all times. He made and lost fortunes at the beginning of the twentieth century. During the great crash of 1929, he made around 100 million US dollars, by shorting the US stock market.

What stands out from his approach to trading was the focus on technical aspects of price. He kept journals with price changes, as you will see from the book we’ve mentioned above.

At that particular time, the fundamental analysis was trending, since the technology was not as it is today and it was pretty tough to monitor charts.

If you decide to read his book, you will find a lot of interesting things about crowd psychology and market sentiment. No get-rich-quick scheme can be found there, but instead, a thorough analysis of markets and how they behave from a technical point of view.

What can forex traders learn from Jesse Livermore?

First, its desire to accomplish everything that he wanted. He came from a really small town, started trading with 5 dollars and managed to be successful in a field where most fail.

Second, it is his unique mindset and approach that helped him generate the wealth he had. Although he had a terrible personal life, from a professional point of view we cannot judge him.

Make sure to study his life and work and you will find a lot of inspiring things about trading, especially if you are one of those that need to start with huge disadvantages. Hope you enjoyed the material and stay tuned for the next ones.

Today we’ll talk about a pattern that occurs many times in the forex market, on most of the pairs and on any time frame. We will describe the parabolic price structure and how you could use it for trading. However, we must begin by saying there are many forms of patterns that occur over and over in the markets. You just need concentration and pattern recognition skills in order to be able to spot them. You don’t need to apply the basics of fundamental analysis, although you could have a higher edge by combining both.

Parabolic structure – a common pattern in the forex market

In order to help you understand better what we are talking about, let’s take an actual example. Below you can see the GBPUSD on the 5 minutes chart. We’ve spotted a parabolic structure yesterday, March 30^th 2018.

Source: dailyfx.com

Let’s describe the actual context. If you zoom out to the daily chart, you will see that Cable had been under pressure for a few days in a row. However, as the end of the month was near, some profit taking might have been in play. That is why we see the leg up on the left of our screenshot.

After a few hours of buying, the price ran into a resistance level, located at 1.4060 and then started to consolidate. What stands out is the shift in the price relationship with the 20 EMA.

We’ve used the 20 EMA to help us spot a change in the market mood and you can see that sellers were showing signs of strength once the price action had begun to treat the 20 EMA as resistance, not as support.

There were a few rejections off the EMA, which is good news for sellers, as they could enter the market at a better price. What resulted is a nice parabolic-shaped price formation which can be used efficiently especially for with-trend trading.

Hope you will manage to spot formations like this one in the future and maybe you will be able to spot other kinds of formations as well. This type of recurring formations happen all the time, you just need the experience to see them unfolding.

Our GBPUSD buy signal made +95 pips profit:

From: Dave Hughe <plainfx@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, Oct 31, 2017 at 8:50 AM
Subject: Oct. 31
To: 
GBPUSD Buy 1.3224 SL 1.3189 P1= 1.3244 P2= 1.3274

This signal reached both profit targets. The stop-loss order for the remaining 3rd unit had been upgraded and later triggered at 1.3249 for the total profit of +95 pips.

From: Dave Hughe <plainfx@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, Oct 31, 2017 at 11:28 PM
Subject: GBPUSD SL 1.3249
To: 

On the chart this trade looked like this:

We sent out the following Forex signal today:

From: Dave Hughe <plainfx@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, Oct 31, 2017 at 8:50 AM
Subject: Oct. 31
To: 
GBPUSD Buy 1.3224 SL 1.3189 P1= 1.3244 P2= 1.3274

So far, this signal has reached its first profit target making +20 pips profit. Now we updated stop-loss orders to the break even price:

From: Dave Hughe <plainfx@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, Oct 31, 2017 at 9:07 AM
Subject: GBPUSD P1 reaches, SL BE
To: 

We sent out the signal to short USDJPY today:

From: Dave Hughe <plainfx@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, Oct 30, 2017 at 9:12 AM
Subject: New order
To: 
USDJPY Sell 113.49 SL 113.70 P1= 113.26 P2= 113.12

Later we updated the stop-loss to 113.55:

From: Dave Hughe <plainfx@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, Oct 30, 2017 at 9:20 AM
Subject: USDJPY SL 113.55
To: 

This week our signals made the total profit of +227 pips.

Our last unit from the USDCAD long trade opened on Friday hit the trailing stop today at 1.2668 for the total profit of 167 pips.

The original signal sent out was:

From: Dave Hughe <plainfx@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, Oct 20, 2017 at 8:26 AM
Subject: New order
To: 
USDCAD Buy 1.2501 SL 1.2479 P1= 1.2521 P2= 1.2541

The trailing stop-loss order for the last unit had been updated this morning. This stop got triggered by the wild down-swing on the news bringing in a net profit of +167 pips. On the chart this trade looked as shown below: